Philip tetlock podcast
Webb2 okt. 2015 · Tetlock: I suppose I would use the term used in Superforecasting: a cautious optimist. Addendum : Tetlock, is visiting my school, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, N.J., to give a talk on ... Webb3 sep. 2024 · The Economist Asks: PhilipTetlock The Economist Podcasts LS 70 TOP 0.05% Sept. 3, 2024 ...In the face of electoral upsets and viral black swans, Anne McElvoy asks the cofounder of the Good Judgement “superforecaster” project whether today’s future-gazers should still rely on historical precedent.
Philip tetlock podcast
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Webb21 feb. 2024 · Philip E Tetlock is a psychologist who specialises in the field of political decision-making, and he is highly respected – Superforecasters carries a cover quote … Webb29 aug. 2024 · Size: 6 x 9.25 in. Buy This. Download Cover. Overview. Author (s) Praise 14. Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is ...
WebbTetlock, P. E. (2011). Intelligent management of intelligence analysis: Escaping the blame game by signaling commitment to trans-ideological epistemic values. American Psychologist. Tetlock P. and Mellers B. (2011). Structuring accountability systems in organizations: Key trade-offs and critical unknowns. In Behind the Science of Intelligence … WebbThe pundits we all listen to are no better at predictions than a “dart-throwing chimp,” and they are routinely surpassed by normal news-attentive citizens. So Philip Tetlock reported in his 02005 book, Expert Political Judgement —and in a January 02007 SALT talk. It now turns out there are some people who are spectacularly good at ...
Webb14 jan. 2016 · The psychologist Philip Tetlock is finally turning prediction into a science — and now even you could become a superforecaster. Jan 14, 2016 By Stephen J. Dubner Produced by: Arwa Gunja Comments Share this episode Freakonomics Radio Network Newsletter Stay up-to-date on all our shows. We promise no spam. Episode Transcript WebbIn Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former …
WebbPhil Tetlock is a Canadian-born Psychology Professor and researcher who is fascinated by decision-making processes and attributes required for good judgment. His career has had a major impact on decision-making worldwide. Phil serves on the faculty at the University of Pennsylvania as Annenberg University Professor, with appointments in the ...
Webb27 juni 2024 · The Hidden Brain Podcast is hosted by Shankar Vedantam and produced by Maggie Penman, Jennifer Schmidt, Renee Klahr, Rhaina Cohen, and Parth Shah. Our … greenstar heating and airWebbThe pundits we all listen to are no better at predictions than a “dart-throwing chimp,” and they are routinely surpassed by normal news-attentive citizens. ... green star grocery ithaca nyWebbTetlock’s group of amateur forecasters would go head-to-head against teams of academics as well as career intelligence analysts, including those from the C.I.A., who … fnaf fangame open source download redditWebbThey are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to ... greenstar group wa pty ltdgreenstar heating and air conditioningWebbHe’s probably the most established podcaster on this list—and it shows. Mr. Covel’s podcast is great for those looking for alternative views on the market, those who are tired of hearing the same old stories told on CBNC and other traditional outlets. This is highly recommended if you are looking to expand your mind in investing. Mr. greenstar health careWebbJulia Galef is the host of the popular Rationally Speaking podcast, where she has interviewed thinkers such as Tyler Cowen, Sean Carroll, Phil Tetlock, and Neil deGrasse Tyson. She is an advisor to OpenAI, works with the … greenstar health care leeds